Monday, May 17, 2010

The State of the TAN

More Bearish moves for the solar stocks with TSL, CSIQ, YGE and STP losing more than 5% for the day.

Claymore/MAC Global Solar Index (Solar Stock ETF) is making new lows. Maybe this is the time to start buying?

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Thursday, May 06, 2010

Solar Stocks Plunge

Chinese stocks fell hard on Thursday trailing Asian indices lower. Large cap stocks hold on better than smaller counterparts; the Claymore/AlphaShares Small Cap China ETF (NYSE:HAO) lost three times as much as the large cap proxy, FXI.

Energy, solar stocks weight down indices on stronger dollar and falling oil. Solar stocks dominate the worst performing China ADR universe by noon on Thursday. Suntech Power (NYSE:STP), Solarfun Power (NYSE:SOLF), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ), Yaingli Green Energy (NYSE:YGE) and Trina Solar (NYSE:TSL) make up the worst stocks measured in percentage change on the following screen.


Solar stocks continue the plunge with many Solar Companies dropping more than 10% just for this day.

The Solar Stock ETF quotes: 7.22 -0.54 (-6.96%)

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Friday, March 19, 2010

SunPower Reports Fourth-Quarter 2009 Results

SPWRA is down -14% after earnings results:

Record Q4-2009 revenue of $548 million; fiscal-year 2009 revenue of $1.52 billion -- Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.09 and non-GAAP EPS of $0.47 - includes $0.03 per share in accounting investigation expenses -- Completed largest solar power plant in Italy, 24-megawatt (MW) project in Montalto -- Completed construction of more than 100-MW rooftop and ground mount systems in 2009 -- More than doubled the number of SunPower dealers in 2009 to ~1,000 dealers in eight countries -- Announced the acquisition of SunRay Renewable Energy - will add 1.2 gigawatt pipeline -- Announced 200 MW, five year rooftop supply agreement with Southern California Edison -- Financed 19-MW power plant for Xcel Energy in Colorado to be completed in 2010 -- Announced 32-MW supply agreement with Toshiba for 2010 delivery -- Appointed Jim Pape to lead Residential and Commercial (R&C) business unit


Source

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Monday, September 14, 2009

Solar Stocks Retreat

After the massive rally last week, the market is retreating as expected. Most of the Solar Stocks are in the red and would expect some bearish moves in the next few days. Maybe it's time to get back on the Short side.

First Solar, Inc. (Public, NASDAQ:FSLR) Chart gapped this morning, but it's still not obvious that we are going towards new lows, and I would prefer to see another down day tomorrow if I wanted to get Short on Solar. Just don't forget your Stops!

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Tuesday, September 01, 2009

First Solar Bearish Run

Cheap polysilicon and abundant sources are inded a threat to First Solar.
Some years ago the issue was the lack of suppliers of polysilicon, now is the crash of the commodity making a dent on the solar industry.

But you can still disagree, and if the economy gets a quick recovery, all commodities, including polysilicon, might get a speculative Bullish Rally.
Just don't try to guess where the bottom is...

First Solar (FSLR) is overvalued and faces a serious problem in the form of cheap polysilicon. Sound familiar? It should, it's been the refrain from analysts since May. Today's shot at First Solar comes from Gordon Johnson of Hapoalim Securities, on Tech Ticker.

Johnson says First Solar is a sell, with a target of $90. His argument trods well worn ground, but in case you missed it, here it is.

First Solar makes its panels out of cadmium telluride. Most of its competitors make panels out of polysilicon. Last summer, thanks to generous subsidies around the world, especially in Spain, the price of polysilicon shot up to $450 per kg. At such a high price, First Solar had an advantage on the competition.

However, the price has crashed to $60 per kg, and might fall even further, thus wiping out First Solar's advantage. First Solar had told investors not to worry, that it could compete with lowered polysilicon prices. During it's Q2 conference call, it signaled a slight change in its thinking saying it would give rebates to customers to lower the price of the panels. Another worry from Q2, the odd revenue recognition detailed by Barron's, and refuted by e4.

Full article

First Solar, Inc. (Public, NASDAQ:FSLR) The chart does show how deep the current Bearish Rally has taken this Solar Stock:

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Monday, August 31, 2009

Chinese Solar Stocks Slide After China 'Crash'

Market moves south, and Solar Stocks follow:

Shares of China-based solar stocks are down across the board today after the Shanghai stock market fell 6.7% overnight on fears that the country’s economic growth could slow due to a slowdown in lending growth. Acording to Bloomberg, former Morgan Stanley Asian economist Andy Xie said the China market could drop another 25%, on top of a 22% slide in August.

Among the China-based solar names:

JA Solar (JASO) is down 14 cents, or 3.9%, to $3.48.
LDK Solar (LDK) is down 32 cents, or 3.5%, to $8.92.
China Sunergy (CSUN) is down 29 cents, or 6.3%, to $4.29.
Suntech (STP) is down 78 cents, or 5.2%, to $14.27.
Canadian Solar (CSIQ) is down 60 cents, or 4%, to $14.59.
Yingli Green Energy (YGE) is down 46 cents, or 4.2%, to $10.56.
ReneSola (SOL) is down 9 cents, or 1.6%, to $5.64.

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Monday, July 06, 2009

Oil drops, Solar Stocks Follow

With Crude Oil on its 3rd consecutive day drop, Solar Stocks keep following the Commodity, losing from -5% to -10% on most Solar Stocks.

Some examples for today:

Energy Conversion Devices, Inc. (ENER) -8%
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) -5%
Suntech Power Holdings Co., Ltd. (STP) -9%
Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) -10%


The Solar Stock ETF of reference, Claymore/MAC Global Solar Index , is down almost 7%



Keep away from Solar Stocks for a couple of days, we might get some opportunities by the end of the week. If your Short, keep those profits running.

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Monday, September 08, 2008

Solar Stocks plunge

Even with the S&P500 positive for today, the technology sector is plunging, along with the whole solar sector.

Sun Tech Power and First Solar, Inc. are moving down around 6% for the day.

Even if above July and August lows, the solar industry seems too risky for any short term trades, but expect some high volatility if the market gets higher this week, after the latest US Government bailout news.



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Tuesday, July 01, 2008

Bearish SolarStocks

Claymore/MAC Global Solar Index (TAN) recently took a beating, as the major world indexes continue moving downward, along with the whole solar sector.

Most Solar Stocks had serious losses in the past week, and especially these last two days. Don't expect an upturn movement yet since most of the financial markets are having heavy losses across all sectors.

In case your still out of Solar Energy Stocks, the next weeks should present a good opportunity to buy, only if the present situation does not get worse.

S&P500 is now at it's lows for this year:



And the Claymore/MAC Global Solar Index (TAN) chart:



I've closed all of my solarstock's positions last week, and will watch out for a short term bottom in the next days. But it still is a risky time to get long in the market right now.

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